Posted at 28 April 2023 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•French GDP (YoY) (Q1) 0.8%, 0.5% forecast,0.5% previous
•French GDP (QoQ) (Q1) 0.2%,0.2% forecast, 0.1% previous
•French Mar Consumer Spending (MoM) -1.3%, 0.3% forecast, -0.8% previous
•German Mar Import Price Index (MoM) -1.1%, -0.9% forecast,-2.4% previous
•German Mar Import Price Index (YoY) -3.8%,3.6% forecast,2.8% previous
•Swiss Mar Retail Sales (YoY) -1.9%,0.7% forecast,0.3% previous
•French Apr CPI (MoM) 0.6%,0.4% forecast,0.9% previous
•French Apr CPI (YoY) 5.9%,5.7% forecast,5.7% previous
•French Mar PPI (MoM) 2.0%,-0.3% forecast,-0.9% previous
•German Apr Unemployment n.s.a 2.586M,2.499M forecast,2.590M previous
•German Apr Unemployment Change 24K,10K forecast,16K previous
•German GDP (YoY) (Q1)0.2%,0.8% forecast,0.2% previous
•German GDP (QoQ) (Q1)-0.1% ,0.3% forecast,0.8% previous
Looking Ahead Economic Data(GMT)
•12:30 US Employment Wages (QoQ) (Q1) 0.90% forecast, 1.00% previous
•12:30 US Employment Cost Index (QoQ) (Q1) 1.1% forecast, 1.0% previous
•12:30 US Employment Benefits (QoQ) (Q1) 0.70% forecast,0.80% previous
•12:30 US Real Mar Personal Consumption (MoM) -0.1% previous
•12:30 US Mar Personal Income (MoM) 0.2% forecast,0.3% previous
•12:30 US Mar Personal Spending (MoM) -0.1% forecast,0.2% previous
•12:30 US Mar PCE price index (MoM) 0.3% forecast,0.3% previous
•12:30 US Mar PCE Price index (YoY) 5.0% previous
•12:30 US Mar Core PCE Price Index (MoM) 0.3% forecast,0.3% previous
•12:30 US Mar Core PCE Price Index (YoY) 4.5% forecast,4.6% previous
•12:30 Canada Feb GDP (MoM) 0.2% forecast, 0.5% previous
•13:45 US Apr Chicago PMI 43.5 forecast, 43.8 previous
•14:00 US Apr Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations 2.90% previous
•14:00 US Apr Michigan Inflation Expectations 4.6% previous
•14:00 US Apr Michigan Current Conditions 66.0 forecast,68.6 previous
•14:00 US Apr Michigan Consumer Sentiment 63.5 forecast,63.5 previous
•14:00 US Apr Michigan Consumer Expectations 61.8 forecast,60.3 previous
•15:00 Canada Feb Budget Balance 3.90B forecast,-0.91B previous
•15:00 Canada Feb Budget Balance (YoY) -6.44B previous
•16:55 US Mar Dallas Fed PCE 4.00% previous
•17:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 591 previous
•17:00 U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 753 previous
Looking Ahead Events And Other Releases
•12:30 German Buba Wuermeling Speaks
Fxbeat
EUR/USD: The euro fell on Friday after economic data painted a mixed picture for growth and inflation across the euro zone, raising uncertainty around the size of the European Central Bank's expected interest rate hike next week. Preliminary data showed gross domestic product in the euro zone expanded by 0.1% in the first quarter, below expectations in a poll for 0.2% . The euro fell 0.4% to $1.0986, but remained near its recent one-year. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1038 (Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1080(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0976 (5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0912(April 19th low).
GBP/USD: Sterling eased against the dollar on Friday as markets turned their focus to the Federal Reserve's meeting due next month. The U.S. dollar rose broadly, drawing support from data pointing to still-sticky inflation in the United States, which reinforced expectations for a 25-basis-point rate hike at next week's FOMC meeting. Data released on Thursday showed that while U.S. economic growth slowed more than expected in the first quarter, consumer spending, which was accompanied by a rise in inflation, accelerated. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2502 (Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2513(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2450(5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2352(38.2%fib).
USD/CHF: The dollar strengthened against Swiss franc on Friday as the dollar firmed ahead of U.S. inflation data. Investor focus will now be on U.S. core Personal Consumption Expenditures index data for March due at 1230 GMT.The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on May 2-3.The dollar index , which measures the currency against six rivals, was 0.532% higher. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.8975 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9005 (19th April High).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.8910(5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 0.8895(23.6%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar rose against Japan's yen on Friday after the Bank of Japan kept rates ultra-low even as it announced a broad review of monetary policy. The Bank of Japan kept its loose monetary settings unchanged but revamped its guidance on the future path of policy, and announced a broad-perspective review with a planned time frame of around one to one-and-a-half years.In its first meeting under new governor Kazuo Ueda, the central bank modified its forward guidance by removing a pledge to keep interest rates at current or lower levels. Strong resistance can be seen at 136.22(Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 136.54(23.6%fb).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 134.74 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 134.34(5DMA)
Equities Recap
European shares fell on Friday as a drop in bank stocks offset optimism over positive earnings reports, while the euro zone growing at a lower-than-expected rate in the first three months of the year also weighed on sentiment.
At (GMT 11:49),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading down at 0.12 percent, Germany's Dax was down by 0.11 percent, France’s CAC was trading down by 0.66 percent.
Commodities Recap
Gold prices eased on Friday as the dollar firmed in the run up to U.S. inflation data, but economic jitters kept safe-haven bullion on course for a second consecutive monthly rise.
Spot gold edged 0.2% lower to $1,983.01 per ounce by 0915 GMT, but was up 0.8% for the month. U.S. gold futures eased 0.4% to $1,991.70.
Oil prices were heading for another monthly decline on Friday after disappointing U.S. economic data and uncertainty over further interest rate hikes weighed on the demand outlook.
Brent crude futures for June were up 42 cents, or 0.5%, at $78.79 a barrel by 0946 GMT while the more actively traded July contract was down 1 cent at $78.21. Brent is set for its fourth straight monthly fall.