Posted at 04 January 2023 / Categories Market Roundups
•German Nov Import Price Index (YoY) 14.5%, 18.0% forecast,23.5% previous
•German Nov Import Price Index (MoM) -4.5%,-1.6% forecast,-1.2% previous
•Swiss Dec CPI (YoY) 2.8%,2.9% forecast,3.0% previous
•Swiss Dec CPI (MoM) -0.2%,-0.2% forecast,0.1% previous
•French Dec HICP (YoY) 6.7%,7.2% forecast,7.1% previous
•French CPI (YoY)5.9%,6.4% forecast,6.2% previous
•French Dec HICP (MoM) -0.1%,0.3% forecast, 0.4% previous
•French Dec CPI (MoM) -0.1%,0.4% forecast,0.3% previous
•French Dec Consumer Confidence 82, 84 forecast,83 previous
•Italian Dec Services PMI 49.9,49.5 forecast,49.5 previous
•French Dec S&P Global Composite PMI 49.1,48.0 forecast,48.7 previous
•French Dec Services PMI 49.5,48.1 forecast,49.3 previous
•German Dec Composite PMI 49.0,48.9forecast,46.3 previous
•German Dec Services PMI 49.2,49.0 forecast,46.1 previous
• German Dec S&P Global Composite PMI 49.3,48.8 forecast,47.8 previous
• German Services PMI 49.8,49.1 forecast,48.5 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•13:55 US Redbook (YoY) 9.6% previous
•15:00 US Dec ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index 47.2 previous
•15:00 US Dec ISM Manufacturing Prices 42.6 forecast,43.0 previous
•15:00 US Nov JOLTs Job Openings 10.000M forecast,10.334M previous
•15:00 US Dec ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.5 forecast,49.0 previous
•15:00 US ISM Dec Manufacturing Employment 48.3 forecast,48.4 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)
•No significant events
Fxbeat
EUR/USD: The euro steadied against dollar on Wednesday as single currency got lift from a raft of data that suggested European inflation may finally have peaked. Data on Wednesday showed French consumer price pressures cooled by a lot more than expected in December, while the previous day, German data also showed inflation fell significantly more than forecast. This came hot on the heels of Spanish inflation data last week that painted a similar picture. The euro, which on Tuesday posted its largest one-day drop against the dollar in two months, zipped up by as much as 0.82%, as traders latched on to the idea that softer inflation might mean a change in pace from the European Central Bank. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0616(11DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0695(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0519(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0453(Dec 7th low).
GBP/USD: Sterling rose against a weakening dollar on Wednesday as a relaxation of COVID rules in China sent investors bidding for risky currencies.Chinese state media played down the severity of a surge of COVID-19 infections on Tuesday, triggering hopes that a post-pandemic recovery in China would support the global economy. Sterling rose 0.75% to $1.2059 after falling more than 1% on Tuesday to $1.1900, its lowest since end-November. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2079(11DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2238(23.6%fib),On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1900(38.2% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1826 (22nd Nov).
USD/CHF:The dollar declined against the Swiss franc on Wednesday ahead of minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve's December policy meeting that could give clues on its interest rate tightening path. The minutes from the last meeting, at which the Fed raised rates by 50 basis points after four consecutive 75 basis point hikes, are due at 1900 GMT. Investors will also scan Wednesday's U.S. job openings data and ISM's manufacturing report to judge the health of the U.S. economy. At ( GMT 12:20),greenback edged lower 0.82% versus the Swiss franc to 0.9278.Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9313 (21DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9373(38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9253(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9194(Lower BB).
USD/JPY: The dollar declined against Japanese yen on Wednesday as investors awaited minutes from the Federal Reserve’s December policy meeting that could offer hints on the U.S. central bank’s tightening path. Investors will scour minutes from the Federal Reserve's most recent policy meeting for any additional clues as to where interest rates might head, although monthly employment figures on Friday will likely have more weight for the market. At ( GMT 12:20),greenback edged lower 0.17% versus the Japanese yen to 130.78. Strong resistance can be seen at 131.41(5DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 132.70(38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 130.33(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 129.31(Lower BB).
Equities Recap
European stocks rose for a third day running on Wednesday, even as U.K. markets underperformed amid a decline in commodity-related stocks.
At (GMT 12:20),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading higher at 0.56 percent, Germany's Dax was up by 1.60 percent, France’s CAC was trading up by 1.68 percent.
Commodities Recap
Oil fell sharply on Wednesday after slumping in the previous session, weighed down by concerns about weak demand due to the state of the global economy and China's rising COVID cases.
Brent futures fell $1.88 to $80.22 a barrel, a 2.3% loss, by 1032 GMT. U.S. crude dropped $1.68, or 2.2%, to $75.25 per barrel.
Gold prices extended their New Year rally to jump more than 1% and hit their highest since mid-June on Wednesday, helped by a weaker dollar and growing expectations of less aggressive interest rate hikes at upcoming Federal Reserve meetings.
Spot gold rose 1.2% to $1,862.32 per ounce by 1119 GMT, hitting its highest since June 13. U.S. gold futures also gained 1.2% to $1,868.30.