Posted at 04 January 2023 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•Canada Dec Manufacturing PMI 49.2, 49.6 previous
•US Dec Manufacturing PMI 46.2,46.2forecast, 47.7 previous
•US Nov Construction Spending (MoM) 0.2%,-0.4% forecast, -0.3% previous
•New Zealand GlobalDairyTrade Price Index -2.8%,-3.8% previous
•US 3-Month Bill Auction 4.410%,4.350% previous
•US 6-Month Bill Auction 4.635%,4.600% previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•No data ahead
Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)
•No significant events
EUR/USD: The euro declined against dollar on Tuesday after regional German inflation data suggested price pressures in Europe's biggest economy cooled sharply in December .German state inflation data showed that price pressures eased in December, indicating national inflation may also have slowed for a second month due in part to the government's one-off payment of household energy bills. Investors have been looking for signs of price pressures easing in the region, especially after the European Central Bank's aggressive monetary policy tightening.The euro also fell 0.92% to $1.0567. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0616(11DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0695(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0519(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0453(Dec 7th low).
GBP/USD: Sterling fell against dollar on Tuesday after data showed British manufacturers reported one of the sharpest falls in activity in over a decade. Manufacturing in the UK ended 2022 with its worst month for over two and a half years.The S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing PMI scored 45.3 in December, down from 46.5 in November, figures released on Tuesday show. Scores below 50 are considered to show that the sector is shrinking. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2069(11DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2238(23.6%fib),On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1900(38.2% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1826 (22nd Nov).
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar weakened against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as the price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, tumbled more than 4% and the greenback reversed some recent declines against a basket of major currencies. The U.S. currency jumped before the Federal Reserve on Wednesday is to release minutes from its December meeting, while oil was pressured by weak demand data from China and a gloomy economic outlook as well as the stronger greenback. The loonie was trading 0.7% lower at 1.3665 to the U.S. dollar, or 73.18 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest since Dec. 20 at 1.3685.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3689 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3730 (Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3606(38.2% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3586 (9DMA).
USD/JPY: The dollar strengthened against Japanese yen on Tuesday as dollar was boosted before the Federal Reserve on Wednesday releases minutes from its December meeting. The U.S. central bank slowed its pace of interest rate hikes to 50 basis points last month after delivering four consecutive 75-basis point hikes but stressed the need to hold rates in restrictive territory to bring down inflation. Fed funds futures traders are pricing for rate cuts this year even as the Fed maintains a hawkish tone, with the fed funds rate expected to peak at 4.98% in June, before falling back to 4.57% by year-end.The dollar was last up 0.82% against a basket of currencies at 104.49.Strong resistance can be seen at 1312.41(Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 131.91(38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 129.31(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 129.00(Psychological level).
Equities Recap
European stocks closed on a firm note on Tuesday with investors indulging in some strong buying at several counters as they assessed the impact of China's decision to relax Covid-related restrictions, and reacted to the data showing a drop in Germany's consumer price inflation.
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed down by 1.37 percent, Germany's Dax ended up by 0.80 percent, France’s CAC finished the day up by 0.44 percent.
Wall Street's main indexes closed lower on the first trading day of 2023 with the biggest drags from Tesla and Apple, while investors worried about the Federal Reserve's interest-rate hiking path as they awaited minutes from its December meeting.
Dow Jones closed down by 0.03 percent, S&P 500 ended down by 0.40 percent, Nasdaq finished down by 0.76 percent.
Treasuries Recap
Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields fell on Tuesday, with the 10-year yield retreating after two straight weeks of gains to close out 2022 with its biggest annual gain in decades over concerns about the path of the Federal Reserve's tightening policy.
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR was down 3.9 basis points at 3.792%.
Commodities Recap
Gold prices kicked off 2023 by hitting their highest levels in more than six months on Tuesday as benchmark Treasury yields fell, while investors assessed the prospects for more Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, which acted as a significant headwind to bullion last year.
Spot gold , which had ended a volatile 2022 little changed, was up 0.8% to $1,838.56 per ounce by 1:42 p.m. ET (1842 GMT) after touching its highest level since June 17 earlier at $1,849.89.
Oil prices tumbled 4% in volatile trade on Tuesday, pressured by weak demand data from China, a gloomy economic outlook and a stronger U.S. dollar.
Brent futures for March delivery fell $3.81, or 4.4%, to $82.10 a barrel, the largest daily decline in more than three months.
U.S. crude fell $3.33 to $76.93 per barrel, a 4.1% loss, its biggest fall in more than a month.