Posted at 22 December 2022 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•UK GDP (QoQ) (Q3)-0.3%, -0.2% forecast, 0.2% previous
•UK GDP Business Investment (YoY) (Q3)1.3%, 3.5% previous
•UK Business Investment (QoQ) (Q3)-2.5%, -0.5% previous
•UK GDP (YoY) (Q3)1.9%, 2.4% forecast,4.4% previous
•UK Current Account (Q3)-19.4B, -20.8B forecast, -33.8B previous
•Italian Nov Trade Balance Non-EU 2.01B,-2.04B previous
•Italian Nov PPI (YoY) 29.4%, 28.0% previous
•Italian Nov PPI (MoM) 2.6%,-3.3% previous
Looking Ahead - Economic events(GMT)
•13:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims 1,683K forecast, 1,671K previous
•13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims 222K forecast,211K previous
•13:30 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. 227.25K previous
•13:30 US Nov Chicago Fed National Activity -0.05 previous
•13:30 US Corporate Profits (QoQ) (Q3) -0.2% previous
•13:30 US Core PCE Prices (Q3) 4.60% forecast, 4.60% previous
•13:30 US GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 2.9% forecast,2.9% previous
•13:30 US PCE Prices (Q3)4.3% previous
•13:30 US GDP Sales (Q3) 4.0% previous
•13:30 US Real Consumer Spending (Q3) 1.7% previous
Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)
• No significant event
EUR/USD: The euro was little changed on Thursday as investors awaited U.S. economic data releases due later in the day that may influence the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision. U.S. gross domestic product data for the third quarter and weekly U.S. jobless claim numbers are due at 1330 GMT. Traders will also scan personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data, due on Friday, for cues on inflation. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0665(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0718(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0580(5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0495(38.2%fib).
GBP/USD: Sterling fell against the dollar on Thursday after data showed the British economy contracted slightly more than expected. Economic output fell by 0.3% during the July-September quarter, compared with a previous estimate of 0.2%.Analysts see mainly downside risks for the pound from now to year-end as the British economy remains stuck in a stagflationary environment while the data calendar is light. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2119( 5DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2220(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2037 (38.2%fib),a break below could take the pair towards 1.1891 (50%fib).
USD/CHF: The dollar edged higher against the Swiss franc on Thursday as market participants awaited economic data for further direction. The U.S. gross domestic product data for the third quarter and weekly U.S. jobless claim numbers are due at 1330 GMT. The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) data scheduled on Friday is also on investors’ radar. U.S. consumer confidence rose to an eight-month high in December as inflation retreated and the labour market remained strong, but fears of a recession persisted. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9293(5DMA ), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9358(38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9228(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9200 (Lower BB).
USD/JPY: The dollar declined on Thursday as yyen firmed , returning towards a four-month peak against the dollar hit this week after an unexpected tweak to the Bank of Japan's bond yield controls spurred bullish yen bets.The yen rose about 0.4% to 131.99 per dollar. It had surged to a four-month high of 130.58 on Tuesday after the BOJ decided to allow the 10-year bond yield to move 50 basis points either side of its 0% target, wider than the previous 25 basis point band.. Strong resistance can be seen at 132.56(Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 133.95(38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 131.44(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 130.62(Dec 20th low).
Equities Recap
European shares rose for a second straight session on Thursday, boosted by financial and energy stocks, as investors cheered improving consumer sentiment in the United States after inflation expectations eased.
At (GMT 12:31) UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading up at 0.38 percent, Germany's Dax was down by 0. 36 percent, France’s CAC was down by 0.14 percent.
Commodities Recap
Oil prices climbed for a fourth straight day on Thursday with U.S. crude, heating oil and jet fuel stocks growing tighter just as a wintry blast hits the United States.
Brent crude futures gained 74 cents, or 0.9%, to trade at $82.94 at 0911 GMT, extending gains of around 2.7% from the previous session.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures, hitting their highest since Dec. 5 earlier, were up 81 cents, or 1%, at $79.10 a barrel.
Gold prices consolidated in a narrow range on Thursday as cautious investors awaited U.S. economic data releases due later in the day that may influence the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate raising timeline.
Spot gold was little changed at $1,814.03 per ounce by 1118 GMT, while U.S. gold futures edged 0.1% lower to $1,823.50.