Posted at 21 December 2022 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•US Nov Building Permits 1.342M,1.485M forecast,1.512M previous
•Canada Oct Core Retail Sales (MoM) 1.4%, 1.4% forecast, -0.7% previous
•US Nov Housing Starts 1.427M, 1.400Mforecast, 1.425M previous
•Canada Oct Retail Sales (MoM ) 1.4%, 1.5% forecast,-0.5% previous
•US Nov Building Permits (MoM) -11.2%,-3.3% previous
•US Nov Housing Starts (MoM) -0.5%, -4.2% previous
•US Redbook (YoY) 7.6%,5.9% previous
•New Zealand GlobalDairyTrade Price Index-3.8%, 0.6% previous
•EU Dec Consumer Confidence -22.2,-22.0 forecast, -23.9 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT )
•02:00 New Zealand Credit Card Spending (YoY) 24.8% previous
Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)
•No significant events
Currency Summaries
EUR/USD: The euro steadied against dollar on Tuesday as market digested surprise policy tweak by Japan's central bank. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) widened the allowable band for long-term yields to 50 basis points either side of its 0% target, from 25 basis points previously. Investors were also reacting to comments by ECB policymaker Peter Kazimir that the monetary policy should tighten at a stable pace. On the data front, German producer price inflation eased more-than-expected in November to reach its lowest level in nine months amid a slowdown in the price growth of energy.Producer prices climbed 28.2 percent year-over-year in November, slower than the 34.5 percent surge in October. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0671(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0718(Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0592(5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0495(38.2%fib).
GBP/USD: The pound edged higher on Tuesday against the U.S. dollar in thin trading ahead of the Christmas holidays, but was on track for its strongest quarterly gain against the dollar since 2009. Analysts are pessimistic about the outlook for sterling, with the British economy seen as likely to fare worse than its major peers in the coming years. The pound has surged 8.8% against the dollar in the final three months of the year, putting it on track for its best quarter for more than 13 years. Sterling was last up 0.1% against the dollar at $1.218, having fluctuated in and out of positive territory in afternoon trading in London. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2259( 5DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2407(15th Dec).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2090 (38.2%fib),a break below could take the pair towards 1.1953 (Lower BB).
USD/CAD : The Canadian dollar edged higher against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as financial markets gyrated following a policy tweak by the Bank of Japan and ahead of domestic inflation data that could guide expectations for the Bank of Canada policy outlook. Canada’s consumer price index report for November, due on Wednesday, is expected to show the annual rate of inflation easing to 6.7% in November from 6.9% in October.Money markets see roughly a 40% chance that the BoC will raise interest rates further at its Jan. 25 policy decision.The Canadian dollar was trading 0.2% higher at 1.3615 to the greenback, after touching its strongest level since last Thursday at 1.3581.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3693 (19th Dec high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3728(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3587 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3545 (21DMA).
USD/JPY: The dollar declined sharply against Japanese yen on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan stunned markets with a surprise tweak to its bond yield control program. The move rattled investors already worried about the economic fallout of rising interest rates and untameable inflation around the globe. The timing of the move surprised since most BOJ watchers had expected no changes until the current governor Haruhiko Kuroda's 10-year term ends at the end of March. The dollar was down 3.9 % against the Japanese currency at 131.655 yen. It hit a low of 130.58 yen, a level last seen in early August. Strong resistance can be seen at 133.64(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 135.78(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 130.82(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 130.00(Psychological level).
Equities Recap
Despite coming off early lows, European stocks closed on a weak note on Tuesday as fears of a global economic recession due to constantly rising interest rates weighed on sentiment..
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 0.13 percent, Germany's Dax ended down by 0.42 percent, France’s CAC finished the day down by 0.35 percent.
Wall Street closed slightly higher on Tuesday after four sessions of declines, but investors fretted about weak holiday shopping and rising bond yields added pressure after the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) surprise tweak of monetary policy.
Dow Jones closed up by 0.28% percent, S&P 500 closed up by 0.10% percent, Nasdaq settled down by 0.01% percent.
Treasuries Recap
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Tuesday after the Bank of Japan surprised markets by widening the band of its yield curve control, sparking a global sell-off in bonds.
Benchmark 10-year note yields rose 10 basis points to 3.684%, while two-year yields were little changed on the day at 4.266%.
Commodities Recap
Gold prices climbed more than 1% to their highest levels in a week on Tuesday and other precious metals also rallied on the back of a sliding dollar, as markets remained focused on the Federal Reserve's interest rate strategy.
Spot gold rose 1.6% to $1,815.10 per ounce by 1:57 p.m. ET (1857 GMT), while U.S. gold futures settled up 1.5% at $1,825.4.
Oil prices ended higher on Tuesday in a volatile session as a worsening outlook for a major U.S. winter storm sparked fears that millions of Americans might curb travel plans during the holiday season.
Brent crude futures settled up 19 cents, or 0.2%, to $79.99 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled up 90 cents at $76.09 per barrel.