Posted at 04 November 2022 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•U.S. initial weekly jobless claims fall
•Services industry growth slows
•Dow down 0.46%, S&P 500 down 1.06%, Nasdaq down 1.73%
•US Initial Jobless Claims 217K,220K forecast, 217K previous
•US Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg 218.75K,219.00K previous
•US Continuing Jobless Claims 1,485K,1,450K forecast, 1,438K previous
•US Imports 331.30B,326.30B previous
•US Exports 258.00B,258.90B previous
•US Sep Trade Balance -73.30B,-72.20B forecast, -67.40B previous
•Canada Sep Building Permits (MoM) -17.5%,-6.1% forecast, 11.9% previous
•US Unit Labor Costs (QoQ) (Q3) 3.5%,4.1% forecast, 10.2% previous
•Canada Sep Trade Balance 1.14B,1.34B forecast, 1.52B previous
•US Nonfarm Productivity (QoQ) (Q3) 0.3%,0.6% forecast, -4.1% previous
•US Oct Services PMI 47.8,46.6 forecast, 49.3 previous
•US Oct S&P Global Composite PMI 48.2, 47.3forecast, 49.5 previous
•US Sep Factory Orders (MoM) 0.3%,0.3% forecast, 0.0% previous
•US Oct ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI 54.4,55.5 forecast, 56.7 previous
•US Oct ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Activity 55.7 ,59.1 previous
•US Oct ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders 56.5, 60.6 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT )
•00:30 Australia Retail Sales (QoQ) (Q3) 0.4% forecast,1.4% previous
•00:30 Japan Oct Services PMI 53.0 previous
Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)
• 00:30 Australia RBA Monetary Policy Statement
Currency Summaries
EUR/USD: The euro declined on Thursday as dollar continued to strengthen from hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on the prospects of further interest rate hikes targeted at reining in inflation. The Fed indicated on Wednesday smaller increments in the future but left policymakers room to continue pushing rates higher if inflation does not start to slow after delivering a widely expected 75 basis point (bps) hike. The dollar index rose 1.46%, with the euro down 0.7% to $0.9748. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9854(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9904 (9DMA).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9718 (23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9637 (Lower BB).
GBP/USD: Sterling dropped sharply on Thursday after the Bank of England said borrowing costs were likely to go up less than markets expect and warned that the economy was heading for a protracted recession even as it raised rates by the most in three decades. While, the BoE pushed back against traders expectations that interest rates were likely to rise to around 5% next year. The pound was already down around 1.2% against the dollar on Thursday after the Fed meeting but dropped sharply after the BoE decision and statement, at one point falling more than 2% to a low of $1.1157.It was last down 1.67% at $1.12, putting it on track for its biggest daily fall since the British government's tax-cutting mini-budget on Sept. 23.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1307 (21DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1340(38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1144(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0948(Lower BB).
USD/CAD : The Canadian dollar weakened to a near two-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Thursday before clawing back some of its losses, as oil prices fell and investors turned attention to the release of U.S. and Canadian employment data on Friday . The price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, settled 2% lower at $88.17 a barrel as China stood by its zero-COVID policy and an increase in U.S. interest rates pushed up the U.S. dollar, raising fears of a global recession that would crimp fuel demand. The loonie was trading 0.1% lower at 1.3744 to the greenback, after touching its weakest level since Oct. 21 at 1.3808.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3807 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3877 (Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3706(21DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3650 (38.2%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar strengthened against the yen on Thursday as U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks continued to support dollar. The Fed raised interest rates by 75 basis points on Wednesday and said its battle against inflation will require borrowing costs to rise further, yet signaled it may be nearing an inflection point.Powell, in a press conference, said the Fed has “ways to go with interest rates before we get to the level that’s sufficiently restrictive” and that it is premature to discuss pausing. The Japanese yen eased 0.2% against the dollar to 148.33 .Strong resistance can be seen at 147.64 (9DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 149.64 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 146.77 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 145.26(Oct 28th low).
Equities Recap
European stocks closed lower on Thursday, extending losses from the previous session, as another 75-basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve and hawkish comments from the central bank Chair Jerome Powell hurt sentiment.
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 0.62 percent, Germany's Dax ended down by 0.95 percent, France’s CAC finished the day down by 0.54 percent.
U.S. stocks closed lower for a fourth consecutive session on Thursday as economic data did little to alter expectations the Federal Reserve would continue raising interest rates for longer than previously thought.
Dow Jones closed down by 0.46% percent, S&P 500 closed by 1.06% percent, Nasdaq settled down by 1.73% percent.
Treasuries Recap
Treasury yields jumped on Thursday, with the two-year note climbing toward 5%, a day after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said the "ultimate level" of the U.S. central bank's policy rate would likely be higher than previously estimated.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year note rose 9 basis points to 4.151%, while the two-year yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was up 13.3 basis points at 4.703%.
Commodities Recap
Gold prices fell to a more than one-month low on Thursday as the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields jumped after hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, denting the non-yielding metal’s appeal.
Spot gold was down 0.3% at $1,629.97 per ounce by 1:49 p.m. ET (1749 GMT), after falling more than 1% earlier, hitting its lowest since Sept. 28.U.S. gold futures settled 1.2% lower at $1,630.9.
Oil prices slid about 2% on Thursday as China stood by its zero-COVID policy and an increase in U.S. interest rates pushed up the dollar, raising fears of a global recession that would crimp fuel demand.
Brent futures were down $1.49, or 1.5%, to settle at $94.67 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.83, or 2.0%, to settle at $88.17.