Posted at 20 October 2022 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•Canada Sep Core CPI (MoM) 0.4%,0.0% previous
•Canada Common CPI (YoY) 6.0%,5.6% forecast, 5.7% previous
•Canada Trimmed CPI (YoY) 5.2%,5.1% forecast, 5.2% previous
•US Sep Building Permits (MoM) 1.4%,-8.5% previous
• US Sep Building Permits 1.564M,1.530M forecast, 1.542M previous
•US Sep Housing Starts 1.439M, 1.475M forecast, 1.575M previous
•US Sep Housing Starts (MoM) -8.1%, 12.2% previous
•Canada Sep Core CPI (YoY) 6.0%, 5.8% previous
•Canada RMPI (MoM) -3.2%, -3.5% forecast, -4.2% previous
•Canada Sep CPI (MoM) 0.1%. -0.1% forecast, -0.3% previous
•US Cushing Crude Oil Inventories 0.583M,-0.309M previous
• US Crude Oil Inventories -1.725M, 1.380M forecast, 9.880M previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•No data ahead
Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)
•No significant events
Currency Summaries
EUR/USD: The euro dipped against dollar on Wednesday as investors fretted about runaway inflation and aggressive monetary policy tightening . Data showed UK inflation hit 10.1% in September, matching the 40-year high touched in July, and putting more pressure on the Bank of England to step up interest rate hikes to rein in surging prices.Inflation in the eurozone reached 10% last month, as the region grapples with soaring energy prices that have raised the risks of a recession this winter. The euro sank 0.90% to $0.9767, retreating from Tuesday's high of $0.9875 , a level last seen on Oct. 6. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9766(5DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9843 (38.2%ib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9668(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9571 (Lower BB).
GBP/USD: Sterling weakened on Wednesday after hotter-than-expected consumer price inflation and fears of a deeper recession bolstered expectations of a less aggressive rate hike by the Bank of England in November. Britain's annual consumer price inflation inched up to 10.1% in September, rising more than expected and returning to a 40-year high hit in July.Investors expect sterling to remain under pressure amid the outlook for rising inflation and a recession in Britain which could lead the BoE to hike by 75 basis points rather than 100 bps at its November meeting. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1330(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1428 (Oct 17th high).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1173 (9DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1105 (Lower BB).
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar weakened against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday as the greenback broadly climbed, but the currency’s decline was capped as hot domestic inflation data led to raised bets on another jumbo interest rate hike by the Bank of Canada. Canada’s annual inflation rate inched down to 6.9% in September but was a notch ahead of analyst forecasts of 6.8%, while measures of underlying price pressures failed to ease. The loonie was down 0.2% at 1.3770 to the greenback, or 72.62 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.3719 to 1.3809. That was the smallest decline among G10 currencies. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3818 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3895 (Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3731(14DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3676 (38.2%fib).
USD/JPY: The U.S. dollar held at a 32-year peak against the yen on Wednesday as dollar was supported on expectations of aggressive U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Traders are on high alert for the Ministry of Finance and Bank of Japan to step into the market again, as the currency pair pushes toward the key psychological barrier at 150. A cross of 145 a month ago spurred the first yen-buying intervention since 1998.Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Wednesday that he was checking currency rates meticulously and with more frequency, local media reported. Strong resistance can be seen at 149.93 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 150.00(Psychological level).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 148.15(5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 147.43(38.2%fib).
Equities Recap
European stocks closed lower on Thursday, snapping a four-day winning streak, as worries about rising inflation and economic slowdown hurt sentiment..
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed down by 0.17 percent, Germany's Dax ended down by 0.19 percent, France’s CAC finished the day down by 0.43 percent.
Wall Street closed lower on Wednesday, marking the end of a multi-session rally, and Treasury yields spiked as gloomy data and downbeat corporate outlooks tossed cold water on investor risk appetite.
Dow Jones closed down by 0.33%percent, S&P 500 closed down by 0.67% percent, Nasdaq settled down by 0.85 % percent.
Treasuries Recap
A selloff in U.S. government bonds resumed on Wednesday, pushing the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield to its highest level since mid-2008, as investors largely shrugged off a weak housing report and expected the Federal Reserve to remain aggressive in tightening rates.
U.S. 10-year yields rose to 4.136% , their highest since July 2008 and were last up near 13 basis points (bps) at 4.127%.
Commodities Recap
Gold prices dropped over 1% to a three-week low on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields rose, further pressured by prospects of aggressive rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
Spot gold fell 1.5% to $1,627.81 per ounce by 1:41 p.m. ET (1741 GMT), after touching its lowest since Sept. 28 earlier in the session.U.S. gold futures settled down 1.3% at $1,634.2.
Oil prices rose on Wednesday as caution over tightening supply countered the negative impact of uncertain demand, and news that the United States will release more crude from its reserves.
Brent crude futures for December settlement ended up $2.38, or 2.6%, to $92.41 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI for November, which is expiring on Thursday, ended at $85.55 a barrel, up $2.73, or 3.3%.