Posted at 18 November 2021 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•Canada Common CPI (YoY) 1.8%,1.8% previous
•Canada Median CPI (YoY) 2.9%,2.8% previous
•US Oct Building Permits (MoM) 4.0%, -7.8% previous
•Canada Oct CPI (MoM) 0.7%,0.7% forecast, 0.2% previous
•US Oct Building Permits 1.650M, 1.638M forecast, 1.586M previous
•US Oct Housing Starts 1.520M,1.576M forecast, 1.555M previous
•Canada Oct Core CPI (YoY) 3.8%, 3.7% previous
•US Oct Housing Starts (MoM) -0.7%, -1.6% previous
•Canada Oct Core CPI (MoM) 0.6%,0.3% previous
•US Crude Oil Inventories -2.101M, 1.398M forecast, 1.001M previous
Looking Ahead Economic Data (GMT)
•23:50 Japan Foreign Bonds Buying 1,289.8B previous
•23:50 Japan Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks 147.0B previous
•05:00 Japan Oct CPI, n.s.a (MoM) 0.4% previous
•05:00 Japan Oct National Core CPI (YoY) 0.1% forecast, 0.1% previous
•05:00 Japan Oct National CPI (YoY) 0.2% previous
Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)
•No significant events
Currency Summaries
EUR/USD: The euro initially dipped on Wednesday but recovered most of the ground after Euro zone Oct inflation data. Euro zone inflation surged to more than twice the European Central Bank's target in October, the European Union's statistics office Eurostat confirmed on Wednesday, with more than half of the jump due to a spike in energy prices.Eurostat said inflation in the 19 countries sharing the euro rose 0.8% month-on-month in October, for a 4.1% year-on-year surge, in line with an earlier Eurostat estimate. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1330 (Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1371 (38.2%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1302 (23.6 % fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1204(Daily low).
GBP/USD: The pound rose against dollar on Wednesday after data showed UK inflation rose to a 10-year high last month, which supported expectations of a rate hike from next month, the Bank of England is expected to become the first major central bank to raise interest rates since the coronavirus pandemic rocked the global economy with markets pricing 60 percent chance it will happen at a December 16 meeting. On Tuesday, the data showed that the UK labor market had weathered the end of the government's furlough program, allaying serious concerns about the risks of monetary tightening.. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3460(38.2% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3520 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3408 (5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3383(23.6%fib).
USD/CAD :The loonie weakened against the dollar on Wednesday as oil prices fell and stronger greenback weighed on commmodity linked currency. On the data front, Canada’s annual inflation rate rose to 4.7% in October, the highest since February 2003 as energy prices rose. The price of oil, one of Canada's top exports, fell after the International Energy Agency (IEA) and OPEC warned of impending oversupply and COVID19 cases in Europe increased risks due to the recovery in demand. The loonie was trading 0.3% lower at 1.2600 to the greenback, after touching its weakest intraday level since Oct. 6 at 1.2609.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.4014 (5 DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.4170 (Daily high).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.4000 (Psychological level), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3835 (21 DMA).
USD/JPY: The US dollar held above the 4-1/2 year highs against the yen on Wednesday after strong US data and hawkish comments from Fed policy makers strengthened expectations of an early rate hike like in mid-2022. US retail sales rose faster-than-expected in October, a report on Tuesday showed consolidating on last week's momentum when data showed consumer prices rose to their highest level since 1990. Money markets are pricing in a high probability of a Fed rate increase in June, followed by another in November. The greenback rose as far as 114.975 yen, its highest since March 2017 before retreating to 114.55 yen. Strong resistance can be seen at 114.94 (38.2% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 115.55 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 114.47 (50%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 114.00 (61.8% fib).
Equities Recap
European stocks closed at a record high on Wednesday, rising for the sixth straight session, as positive earnings reports helped overshadow worries that soaring gas prices were feeding into inflationary pressures.
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed down by 0.49 percent, Germany's Dax ended up by 0.02 percent, France’s CAC finished the day up by 0.06 percent.
Wall Street benchmarks closed down on Wednesday on inflation fears and supply chain concerns, with investors betting the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner than expected to tame rising prices.
Dow Jones closed down by 0.58% percent, S&P 500 closed down by 0.26% percent, Nasdaq settled down by 0.33% percent.
Treasuries Recap
U.S. Treasuries rallied on Wednesday as the recent backup in yields reached levels that drew buyers back to the securities, and after the Treasury sold 20-year bonds to tepid but not terrible demand.
Benchmark 10-year yields reached 1.65%, the highest since Oct. 26, before reversing and falling back to 1.61%. They have increased from a low of 1.42% last week
Commodities Recap
Gold prices bounced on Wednesday as inflation worries pushed investors to the safe-haven metal, even as better-than-expected U.S. retail data strengthened the dollar making bullion expensive for holders of other currencies.
Spot gold rose 0.9% to $1,865.66 per ounce by 14:00 ET (1900 GMT), having dropped in the previous two days after a seven-session rally.U.S. gold futures settled up 0.9% at $1,870.20.
Oil prices fell on Wednesday after OPEC and the International Energy Agency warned of impending oversupply, while the increase in COVID19 cases in Europe has increased downside risks for the recovery in demand.
Brent crude futures fell $1.36, or 1.7%, to $81.05 a barrel by 12:18 p.m. EST (1718 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures settled at $78.36, down $2.40, a 3% decline.