Posted at 31 March 2022 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•UK GDP (QoQ) (Q4) 1.3%, 1.0% forecast, 1.0% previous
•UK GDP (YoY) (Q4)6.6%, 6.5% forecast, 6.5% previous
•UK Business Investment (QoQ) (Q4)1.0%, 0.9% forecast, 0.9% previous
•German Feb Retail Sales (MoM) 0.3%, 0.5% forecast, 2.0% previous
•UK Mar Nationwide HPI (MoM) 1.1%, 0.8% forecast, 1.7% previous
•UK Mar Nationwide HPI (YoY) 14.3%, 13.5% forecast, 12.6% previous
•French Feb Consumer Spending (MoM) 0.8%,1.2% forecast, -1.5% previous
•French CPI (MoM) 1.4%, 1.3% forecast,0.8% previous
•French HICP (MoM) 1.6%, 1.5% forecast, 0.9% previous
•French HICP (YoY) 5.1%, 4.8% forecast, 4.2% previous
•German Mar Unemployment Rate 5.0%, 5.0% forecast, 5.0% previous
• German Mar Unemployment Change -18K, -20K forecast, -33K previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•12:30 US Feb Personal Income (MoM) 0.5% forecast, 0.0% previous
•12:30 US Feb Real Personal Consumption (MoM) 1.5% forecast, previous
•12:30 US Feb Personal Spending (MoM) 0.5% forecast, 2.1% previous
•12:30 US Feb PCE Price index (YoY) 6.1 previous
•12:30 US Feb PCE price index (MoM) 0.6% previous
•12:30 US Feb Core PCE Price Index (MoM) 0.4% forecast, 0.5% previous
•12:30 US Jan GDP (MoM) 0.2% forecast, 0.0% previous
•12:30 US Continuing Jobless Claims 1,350K forecast, 1,350K previous
•12:30 US Initial Jobless Claims 197K forecast,187K previous
•12:30 US Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg 211.75K previous
•12:30 Canada GDP (YoY) 3.26% previous
•13:45 US Chicago Mar PMI 57.0 forecast,56.3 previous
•14:30 US Natural Gas Storage 21B previous
•15:30 US 4-Week Bill Auction 0.135% previous
Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)
•13:00 US FOMC Member Williams Speaks
Fxbeat
EUR/USD: The euro rose higher on Thursday as euro was weighed as Ukraine braced for fresh attacks. Ukrainian forces are preparing for new Russian attacks in the southeast region where Moscow's guns are now trained after its assault on the capital Kyiv was repelled, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Thursday. Five weeks into an invasion that has blasted cities into wastelands and created more than 4 million refugees, U.S. and European officials said Russian president Vladimir Putin was misled by his generals about the dire performance of Russia's military The euro dipped against the dollar, with the pair down 0.4% at 1.1123. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1165 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1274 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1064 (5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1047 (23.6%fib).
GBP/USD: Sterling slipped versus the dollar on Thursday as investors concerned about uncertainty over the war in Ukraine. Ukrainian forces are preparing for new Russian attacks in the east of the country as Moscow deploys more troops there after suffering setbacks near the capital Kyivmaking it clear that while Russia may have scaled back its immediate ambitions, the conflict may still intensify. In the absence of any major economic or policy news, the pound has drifted in recent sessions against the dollar. By 0935 GMT, sterling weakened 0.1% to $1.3124. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3152 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3211 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3070 (23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3003(Lower BB).
USD/CHF: The dollar initially gained against the Swiss franc on Thursday but gave ground on renewed doubts about the possibility of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. The Kremlin on Wednesday welcomed that Kyiv had set out its demands for an end to the conflict in Ukraine in written form, but said there was no sign of a breakthrough yet . Ukrainian forces are preparing for new Russian attacks in the east of the country as Moscow builds up its troops there after suffering setbacks near the capital Kyiv, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said on Thursday. At (GMT 10:48), greenback dipped 0.55% versus the swiss franc to 0.9256. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9253(38.2% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9292 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9224(50% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9195 (61.8%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar was little changed against the yen on Thursday on expectations that the Bank of Japan would be markedly more dovish than the Fed while oil prices fell and eastern Ukraine braced for fresh attacks. Investor sentiment became more positive about peace talks in Ukraine.That optimism was petering out as Ukraine prepared for new Russian attacks, ahead of peace talks resuming on Friday. The dollar was little changed against the yen, with the pair at 121.91. Strong resistance can be seen at 122.50 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 123.00(Psychological level).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 121.65(38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 121.02(50%fib).
Equities Recap
European stocks dipped on Thursday as sentiment remained impacted by the geopolitical crisis in the region that continues unabated.
At (GMT 10:56),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading down at 0.26 %percent, Germany's Dax was down by 0.25 %percent, France’s CAC finished was down by 0.46% percent.
Commodities Recap
Oil prices plunged on Thursday on news that the United States was considering the release of up to 180 million barrels from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the largest in the near 50-year history of the SPR.
Brent crude futures for May fell $4.87, or 4.3%, to $108.58 a barrel by 0855 GMT. The May contract expires on Thursday and the most actively traded June futures were down $5.08 at $106.36, having earlier slid by more than $6.
Gold was on course to post its biggest quarterly gain since September 2020 as the safe-haven metal's appeal was lifted by the Russia-Ukraine conflict and concerns over sky-high inflation.
Spot gold slipped 0.5% to $1,93.40 per ounce and U.S. gold futures fell 0.6% to $1,927.80 as oil prices fell.