Posted at 24 June 2021 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•US May Retail Inventories Ex Auto 0.9%,0.6% previous
•US May Goods Trade Balance -88.11B, -85.73B previous
•Canada Manufacturing Sales (MoM) 1.0%,-2.1% previous
•Canada Wholesale Sales (MoM) 1.1%,0.4% previous
•US Initial Jobless Claims 411K,380K forecast, 412K previous
•US Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg 397.75K, 395.00K previous
•US Continuing Jobless Claims 3,390K,3,470Kforecast , 3,518K previous
•US Wholesale Inventories (MoM) 1.1%, 0.8% previous
•US Corporate Profits (QoQ) (Q1) 1.7%, -0.8% previous
•US May Durables Excluding Defense (MoM) 1.7%, 2.2% previous
•US GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q1) 9.2%, 4.3%, 4.3% forecast,1.9% previous
•US GDP Sales (Q1) 9.2%,9.5%,9.4% previous
•US GDP (QoQ) (Q1) 6.4%, 6.4% forecast, 4.3% previous
•US May Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) 0.3%, 0.8% forecast, 1.0% previous
•US Real Consumer Spending (Q1) 11.4%, 11.3% previous
•US PCE Prices (Q1) 3.7%, 3.7% forecast, 3.7% previous
•US May Durable Goods Orders (MoM) -0.1% ,2.8%, -1.3% previous
•US Core PCE Prices (Q1) 2.50%,2.50% forecast, 2.50% previous
•Belgium Jun NBB Business Climate9.8, 6.5 previous
•US Natural Gas Storage 55B, 66B, 16B previous
•US June KC Fed Manufacturing Index 30 ,32 previous
•US June KC Fed Composite Index 27,26 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•22:45 New Zealand May Exports 5.37B previous
•22:45 New Zealand Trade Balance (YoY) 730M previous
•22:45 New Zealand May Trade Balance (MoM) 388M previous
•22:45 New Zealand May Imports 4.98B previous
•23:30 Japan June CPI Tokyo Ex Food and Energy (MoM) -0.4% previous
•23:30 Japan June Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) -0.1%,-0.2% previous
Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)
•No significant events
Fxbeat
EUR/USD: The euro strengthened on Thursday after data showed German business morale rose in June. survey on Thursday showed that German buiness morale rose more than expected in June as companies improved their assessment of the current situation and increased optimism in the second half of the year.The Ifo institute said its business climate index rose to 101.8 from 99.2 in May. A poll of analysts had pointed to a June reading of 100.6.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1956(38.2% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2010 (50% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1914 (5DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.882 (23.6%fib).
GBP/USD: The British pound fell against the dollar on Thursday after the Bank of England left the scope of its stimulus plan unchanged and, as expected, kept its key interest rate at a record low of 0.1%. The BoE said its monetary policy committee voted 81 votes to keep its government bond purchase program at £ 875 billion ($ 1.2 trillion). The MPC voted with 90 votes in favor of keeping the key rate unchanged and to leave its 20 billion pound stock of corporate bond purchases unchanged. Sterling fell 0.4% against the dollar to $1.3907.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3932 (38.2% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3998 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3888 (Daily low), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3836(23.6%fib).
USD/CAD: The loonie was barely changed against the dollar on Thursday as a fall in oil prices offset domestic data showing exporter confidence rose to its highest level in more than 20 years. Export trends Canada's trade confidence index rose 19% from late 2020 to mid-2021 amid growing optimism that a sustainable recovery in the global economy was underway. One of Canada's major exports is oil. It fell 0.5% to $ 72.74 a barrel but remained near its highest level in nearly three years. supported by destocking in the US invetories . The Canadian dollar was trading nearly unchanged at 1.2299 to the greenback, after trading in a range of 1.2282 to 1.2314. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2349(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2419 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2292(50%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2237 (61.8%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar edged lower against the Japanese yen on Thursday as markets were quiet as traders weighed up different signals from Federal Reserve officials on the timing of a withdrawal of monetary stimulus. Six Fed officials are due to speak on Thursday, including New York Fed President John Williams, who on Tuesday said any conversation about when to adjust interest rates is still far off. The U.S. dollar was down 0.1% against the yen , after the pair hit a 15-month high of 111.11 overnight. Strong resistance can be seen at 111.13 (Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 111.27 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 110.72 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 110.42 (9DMA).
Equities Recap
European stocks rose Thursday as investors focused on a steady economic recovery amid fears of a decline in global monetary stimulus, while technology stocks rose at the top of their US rivals.
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 0.51 percent, Germany's Dax ended up by 0.86 percent, France’s CAC finished the day up by 1.22 percent.
U.S. stock indexes set fresh records on Thursday and European shares closed near all-time highs, fueled by supportive U.S. jobless claims data and an apparent breakthrough in infrastructure spending talks in Washington.
Dow Jones closed up by 0.95% percent, S&P 500 closed up by 0.59% percent, Nasdaq settled down by 0.69% percent.
Treasuries Recap
Weaker than anticipated readings on jobless claims and durable good orders kept Treasury yields in a tight range Thursday as investors saw little reason for the Federal Reserve to deviate from its plans to raise interest rates in 2023.
Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields touched 1.504% overnight but hovered around 1.4919% after Biden's announcement. Yields of short term 2-year Treasuries edged higher at 0.2661, while long duration 30-year Treasury yields dipped to 2.1008%.
Commodities Recap
Gold fell Thursday as mixed signals from Fed officials about the central bank's move to withdraw stimulus kept investors cautious.
Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,776.65 per ounce by 2:15 p.m. EDT (1815 GMT), reversing some gains from earlier in the session as the dollar recouped initial declines.U.S. gold futures settled 0.4% lower at $1,776.70.
Oil prices steadied on Thursday and remained near their highest level in nearly three years, aided by declines in US inventories and the acceleration of German economic activity.
Brent settled up 37 cents, or 0.5%, to $75.56 a barrel by 12:28 p.m. EDT (1628 GMT), after earlier rising to $75.78. U.S. crude settled up 22 cent to $73.30 a barrel, after hitting a session high of $73.61 earlier.