Posted at 07 August 2020 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•German June Current Account Balance n.s.a 22.4B, 6.5B previous
•German June Imports (MoM) 7.0%,10.9% forecast, 3.5% previous
•German June Exports (MoM) 14.9%,13.3% forecast, 9.0% previous
•German June Trade Balance 14.5B, 10.1B forecast, 7.6B previous
•German June Industrial Production (MoM) 8.9%,8.1% forecast, 7.8% previous
•French Non-Farm Payrolls (QoQ) (Q2) -0.6%,-2.0% previous
•French June Imports 40.4B, 34.7B previous
•French July French Reserve Assets Total 200,385.0M, 197,166.0M previous
•French June French Trade Balance -8.0B, -7.1B previous
•French June Exports 32.4B, 27.7B previous
•French June Current Account -8.40B, -8.50B previous
•French June Industrial Production (MoM) 12.7%,8.9% forecast, 19.6% previous
•UK Jul Halifax House Price Index (MoM) 1.6%,-0.1% previous
•UK Halifax House Price Index (YoY) 3.8%,2.5% previous
•Italian Jun Trade Balance 6.232B, 5.584B previous
Looking Ahead Economic Data (GMT)
•12:30 Canada Jul Full Employment Change 488.1K previous
•12:30 Canada Jul Part Time Employment Change 464.8K previous
•12:30 US Jul Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) -0.5% forecast, -1.2% previous
•12:30 US Jul Private Nonfarm Payrolls 1,474K forecast, 4,767K previous
•12:30 US Jul Nonfarm Payrolls 1,600K forecast, 4,800K previous
•12:30 US Jul Manufacturing Payrolls 253K, 356K previous
•12:30 US Jul Government Payrolls 33.0K previous
• 12:30 Canada Jul Unemployment Rate 11.0% forecast, 12.3% previous
•12:30 Canada Jul Participation Rate 64.4% forecast, 63.8% 63.8% previous
•12:30 US Jul Average Weekly Hours 34.4 forecast, 34.5 previous
•12:30 US Jul Unemployment Rate 10.5%,11.1% previous
•12:30 US Jul Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) (YoY) 4.1% forecast, 5.0% previous
•12:30 US Jul Participation Rate 61.5% previous
•12:30 US Jul U6 Unemployment Rate 18.0% previous
•12:30 Canada Jul Employment Change 400.0K, 952.9K previous
•13:00 Brazil Jul CPI (MoM) 0.35% forecast,0.26% previous
•13:00 Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA (MoM) 0.31% previous
•14:00 Canada Jul Ivey PMI 57.5 forecast, 58.2 previous
•14:00 Canada Jul Ivey PMI n.s.a 62.9 previous
•14:00 US June Wholesale Trade Sales (MoM) 4.9% forecast,5.4% previous
•14:00 US Wholesale Inventories (MoM) -2.0% forecast, -1.2% previous
•14:00 Brazil Auto Production (MoM) 129.1% previous
•14:00 Brazil Auto Sales (MoM) 113.6% previous
•19:00 US June Consumer Credit 10.00B forecast, -18.28B previous
Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)
• No significant events
Fxbeat
EUR/USD: The euro declined against dollar on Friday as geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over a new U.S. coronavirus stimulus package supported greenback. The rising geopolitical tensions come at a time when a number of contries are struggling with fresh coronavirus outbreaks. Germany’s manufacturing economy continued its recovery from the coronavirus lockdown for the second consecutive month in June, with output rising 8.9%, helped by a 14.9% jump in exports, data showed on Friday. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0889 (Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1929 (23.6% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1808(38.2% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1709 (50%fib).
GBP/USD: Sterling dipped against dollar on Friday as global market sentiment turned sour after the latest standoff between Washington and Beijing. World stocks tumbled and the U.S. dollar rose after U.S. President Donald Trump banned U.S. transactions with two popular Chinese apps: Tencent’s messenger app WeChat and ByteDance’s video-sharing app TikTok. Cable fell as low as $1.3074 and was only a touch off that at $1.3090 at 1230 GMT. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3180(23.6% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3200 (Psychological level).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3018 (11 DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2972 (38.2%fib).
USD/CHF: The dollar rebounded against the Swiss franc on Friday after President Donald Trump took steps to ban transactions with the Chinese owners of two popular mobile apps. The U.S. dollar is rebounding after a persistent sell-off in the past few weeks on the back of a combination of rising U.S. coronavirus infections, a steady decline in Treasury yields, and a lack of consensus in Washington over additional fiscal stimulus. The U.S. dollar strengthened even though data on employment due at 12:30 GMT is expected to come in weaker. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9141 (11DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9181 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9119 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9054(23.6% fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar rebounded against the Japanese yen Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump cranked up antagonism with Beijing by banning U.S. transactions with two popular Chinese apps: Tencent’s WeChat and ByteDance’s TikTok. Risk appetite was subdued on Friday with hopes fading for a quick deal by U.S. policymakers on stimulus worth at least $1 trillion to support the fragile economy. The White House and Democrats remained far apart on the size of the stimulus package and what to include.The risk-off mood pushed U.S. Treasury yields lower and offered a brief respite to the struggling dollar Strong resistance can be seen at 105.81 (14 DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 106.30 (38.2% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 105.47 (11 DMA), a break below could take the pair towards 105.15 (38.2%fib).
Equities Recap
European shares were trading largely flat on Friday after their Asian peers were hit by an escalation in U.S.-China tensions, but an upbeat earnings season and hopes of more stimulus kept most regional indexes on course for weekly gains.
At (GMT 12:15 ),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading down at 0.14 percent, Germany's Dax was up by 0.05 percent, France’s CAC finished was down by 0.32 percent.
Commodities Recap
Gold’s record-breaking rally paused on Friday as the dollar got some respite from investors looking for a hedge against the U.S.-China spat, but fears over a worsening pandemic kept bullion on track for its longest streak of weekly gains in about a decade.
Spot gold eased 0.2% to $2,058.55 per ounce by 0945 GMT, having scaled a record peak of $2,072.50 in early trade. It has added 4% so far this week in what would be its ninth straight weekly gain.
Oil dipped below $45 a barrel on Friday on worries that a demand recovery would slow due to a resurgence of coronavirus cases, although a pledge from OPEC member Iraq to cut oil output further in August provided support.
Brent crude fell 31 cents, or 0.7%, to $44.78 by 0942 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slipped 39 cents, or 0.9%, to $41.56