Posted at 25 February 2022 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•German GDP (QoQ) (Q4) -0.3%, -0.7% forecast,1.7% previous
•German GDP (YoY) (Q4) 1.8%,1.4% forecast, 2.5% previous
•French Jan Consumer Spending (MoM) -1.5%, -0.5% forecast,0.2% previous
•French GDP (QoQ) (Q4)0.7%,0.7% forecast, 3.1% previous
•French CPI (MoM) 0.7%, 0.3% forecast,0.3% previous
•French GDP (YoY)5.4%, 5.4% forecast, 5.4% previous
•French HICP (MoM) 0.8%, 0.4% forecast, 0.2% previous
•Italian Feb Business Confidence 113.4, 113.9 forecast, 113.9 previous
•EU Feb Business and Consumer Survey 114.0, 113.1 forecast, 112.7 previous
•EU Feb Consumer Inflation Expectation 37.7,38.4 previous
•EU Feb Services Sentiment 13.0,10.3 forecast, 9.1 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•13:30 US Jan PCE price index (MoM) 0.4% previous
•13:30 US Jan Core PCE Price Index (MoM) 0.5% forecast ,0.5% previous
•13:30 US Jan PCE Price index (YoY) 5.8 previous
•13:30 US Jan Personal Spending (MoM) 1.5% forecast,-0.6% previous
•13:30 US Jan Core PCE Price Index (YoY) 5.1% forecast,4.9% previous
•13:30 US Jan Durable Goods Orders (MoM) 0.8% forecast, -0.7% previous
•15:00 US Jan Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) 0.4% forecast,0.6% previous
•15:00 US Jan Pending Home Sales (MoM) 1.0% forecast,-3.8% previous
•15:00 US Feb Michigan Consumer Sentiment 61.7 forecast,67.2 previous
•15:00 US Feb Michigan Inflation Expectations 5.0% forecast,4.9% previous
•15:00 US Feb Michigan Consumer Expectations 57.4 forecast,64.1 previous
•15:00 US Feb Michigan Current Conditions 68.5 forecast,72.0 previous
•16:00 Canada Dec Budget Balance -1.44B previous
•17:00 US Jan Dallas Fed PCE 3.90% previous
Looking Ahead - Economic events and other releases (GMT)
•16:00 US Fed Monetary Policy Report
Fxbeat
EUR/USD: The euro steadied on Friday following Thursday's sharp declines after Russia's all-out invasion of Ukraine unleashed the biggest attack on an European state since World War two. The United States, the European Union and some other countries responded to Russia's invasion of Ukraine with a wave of sanctions impeding Russia's ability to do business in major currencies along with sanctions against banks and state-owned enterprises The euro was last at $1.1175, edging 0.15% lower against the dollar, having touched its lowest $1.1106 since May 2020 on Thursday. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1226(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1273(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1163(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1108(Daily low).
GBP/USD: The British pound stabilised on Friday, recovering from a two-month low hit in the previous session after investors rushed into safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Missiles pounded the Ukrainian capital on Friday as Russian forces pressed their advance and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy pleaded with the international community to do more, saying sanctions announced so far were not enough. The pound steadied against the dollar at $1.3376 after falling to $1.3302 on Thursday, a Dec. 22 low. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3404(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3448(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3348(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3275(Daily low).
USD/CHF: The dollar strengthened against the Swiss franc on Friday tracking a broad global recovery after Russia's invasion of the Ukraine sent global asset prices tumbling a day earlier, although sentiment was still cautious. Meanwhile, investors will closely watch as U.S. Federal Reserve officials begin taking stock of how the unfolding conflict in Ukraine might influence the economy and their planned shift to tighter monetary policy. The dollar rose 0.11% against Swiss franc at 0.9261 per dollar.Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9264 (23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9290 (24th Feb High).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9234 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9208 (50%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar edged lower against yen on Friday as investors rushed into safe assets after Russia's all-out invasion of Ukraine. Missiles pounded Ukraine's capital city Kyiv and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy pleaded with the international community to do more, saying sanctions announced so far were not enough. Western countries including the United States and the European Union unveiled financial sanctions on Moscow billed as far stronger than earlier measures, including blacklisting its banks and banning technology imports. The dollar dipped 0.54% against Japanese yen at 115.45 per dollar. Strong resistance can be seen at 115.55(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 115.92(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 115.27(50%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 114.96(61.8%fib).
Equities Recap
European stocks rose on Friday following Wall Street's dramatic late rally, as investors welcomed coordinated Western sanctions against Russia that targeted its banks but left its energy sector largely untouched.
At (GMT 12:15 ),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading up at 2.20 percent, Germany's Dax was up by 1.44 percent, France’s CAC was last up by 1.70 percent.
Commodities Recap
Gold prices firmed on Friday after a volatile session the previous day saw prices soaring to 18-month highs before closing lower, as Moscow's invasion of Ukraine continued, while supply concerns out of Russia supported palladium prices.
Spot gold gained 0.3% to $1,908.53 per ounce as of 1044 GMT and was set for a fourth consecutive weekly gain. U.S. gold futures , however, shed 0.8% to $1,910.5.
Oil prices slipped on Friday, after sharp rises in the session, on concern over potential global supply disruptions from sanctions on major crude exporter Russia.
The April Brent crude futures contractwas down 33 cents, or 0.3%, to $98.75 a barrel at 1045 GMT, after climbing to as high as $101.99. The more active May contract shed 40 cents, or 0.4%, to $98.75.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude were down 30 cents, or 0.3%, to $92.51a barrel, after hitting a session high of $95.64.