Posted at 16 November 2023 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
•Canada Sep Wholesale Sales (MoM) 0.4% ,0.0% forecast,2.3% previous
•US Oct Retail Control (MoM) 0.2%, 0.6% previous
•US Core Retail Sales (MoM) 0.1%, -0.2% forecast, 0.6% previous
•US Oct Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos (MoM) 0.1%, 0.0% forecast, 0.6% previous
•US Oct Retail Sales (MoM) -0.1%, -0.3% forecast,0.7% previous
•US Oct Core PPI (YoY) 2.4%,2.7% forecast,2.7% previous
•US Oct PPI (YoY) 1.3%,1.9% forecast,2.2% previous
•US Oct PPI (MoM) -0.5%, 0.1% forecast,0.5% previous
•US Oct Core PPI (MoM) 0.0%, 0.3% forecast,0.3% previous
•US Oct PPI ex. Food/Energy/Transport (MoM) 0.1%,0.2% previous
•US Nov NY Empire State Manufacturing Index 9.10, -2.80 forecast,-4.60 previous
•US Oct Retail Sales (YoY) 2.48%, 3.75% previous
•US Oct PPI ex. Food/Energy/Transport (YoY) 2.9%, 2.8% previous
•Canada Manufacturing Sales (MoM) 0.4%,-0.1% forecast,0.7% previous
•US Retail Sep Inventories Ex Auto 0.4%,0.3% forecast, 0.5% previous
•US Sep Business Inventories (MoM) 0.4%,0.4% forecast, 0.4% previous
•US Heating Oil Stockpiles-0.432M, 0.304M previous
•US Crude Oil Inventories 3.600M, 1.793M forecast,0.774M previous
• US Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q4) 2.2%, 2.1% forecast,2.1% previous
Looking Ahead Economic Data(GMT)
•00:30 Australia Oct Reserve Assets Total 93.2B previous
•00:30 Australia Oct Participation Rate 66.7% forecast,66.7% previous
•00:30 Australia Oct Employment Change 20.0K forecast, 6.7K previous
•00:30 Australia Oct Unemployment Rate 3.7% forecast,3.6% previous
•00:30 Australia Oct Full Employment Change -39.9K previous
•01:30 China Oct House Prices (YoY) -0.1% previous
•02:00 New Zealand Oct RBNZ Offshore Holdings 58.50% previous
Looking Ahead Events And Other Release(GMT)
•No Events Ahead
Currency Summaries
EUR/USD: The euro eased on Wednesday as dollar recovered losses after a revision of retail sales data showed strong gains in September. Retail sales dipped 0.1% last month, slightly less than the 0.3% economists polled by Reuters expected, according to the Commerce Department. Data for September was revised higher to show sales increasing 0.9% instead of the previously reported 0.7% rise . At the same time, the headline reading of the Producer Price Index was down 0.5% month on month, well below the estimate of a 0.1% rise, following Tuesday's reading of lower consumer prices. Producer prices rose 0.5% in September. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0894(Nov 14th high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0932( (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0833 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0761(50%fib).
GBP/USD: Sterling eased on Wednesday after data showed British inflation cooled more than forecast in October, reinforcing expectations that the Bank of England will be cutting interest rates by the middle of next year.British consumer prices rose by 4.6% in the 12 months to October, from September’s 6.7% increase, according to the Office for National Statistics The pound staged its largest one-day rise against the dollar in a year on Tuesday, after U.S. data showed the smallest annual increase in underlying consumer inflation in two years. Sterling was last down 0.02% at 1.2417. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2422(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2512 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2364(50%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2287(61.8%fib).
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar strengthened to a nine-day high against its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday as investors grew optimistic that central banks are done raising interest rates and that relations would improve between the world’s two largest economies. It follows gains for the currency on Tuesday as data showed a slowdown in the pace of U.S. inflation, supporting bets that the next move by the Federal Reserve will be to ease monetary policy. Domestic economic data was mixed. It showed gains for wholesale trade and manufacturing shipments in September but also that home sales fell 5.6% in October, the biggest decline in 16 months.The loonie was trading 0.1% higher at 1.3685 to the greenback, after touching its strongest since Nov. 6 at 1.3655.Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3709 (38.2% fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3729 (23.6% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3655(50% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3603 (61.8% fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar steadied against the Japanese yen on Wednesday after data showed that U.S. consumer prices were unchanged in October. U.S. producer prices fell by the most in three-and-a-half years in October, the latest indication of inflation pressures easing. Investors also looked at data that showed U.S. retail sales fell in October, though by less than expected, after months of strong gains, pointing to slowing demand that could further strengthen expectations of a rate-hike pause.The dollar/yen pair rose 0.04% to 151.25.On Monday, the yen hit a one-year low close to 152.Strong resistance can be seen at 151.54(38.2%fib),an upside break can trigger rise towards 152.11(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen 151.22 (5DMA)a break below could take the pair towards 150.91 (50%fib).
Equities Recap
European stocks rose on Wednesday as investors cheered slowing inflation across major economies, bolstering bets of an end to central banks' policy tightening..
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 0.62 percent, Germany's Dax ended up by 0.86 percent, France’s CAC finished the day up by 0. 37 percent.
U.S. stocks closed slightly higher on Wednesday, as fresh inflation data reinforced investor hopes that the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates, while retail stocks were boosted by an upbeat forecast from Target.
Dow Jones closed up by 0.47 percent, S&P 500 ended up by 0.16 percent, Nasdaq finished the day up by 0.07 percent.
Treasuries Recap
U.S. Treasury yields rebounded from two-month lows on Wednesday despite signs of slowing inflation after a revision of retail sales data showed strong gains in September.
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was up 9 basis points to 4.531%. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was up 6 basis points to 4.681%.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, was up 10.3 basis points at 4.920%.
Commodities Recap
Gold steadied below one-week highs on Wednesday, weighed by a stronger dollar, but expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve is done with hiking interest rates put a floor under prices.
Spot gold fell 0.1% to $1,960.49 per ounce by 2:20 p.m. ET (1920 GMT), after touching a one-week peak earlier. U.S. gold futures settled 0.1% lower at $1,964.30.
Oil prices tumbled more than 1.5% on Wednesday on a bigger-than-expected rise in U.S. crude inventories and record production in the world's biggest producer, along with mounting worries about demand in Asia.
Brent futures settled down $1.29, or 1.6%, at $81.18 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) fell $1.60, or 2%, at $76.66.