Posted at 24 October 2023 / Categories Market Roundups
Market Roundup
• Canada New Housing Price Index (MoM) -0.2% ,0.1% orecast,0.1% previous
• US Redbook (YoY) 5.0% ,4.6% previous
• US Oct S&P Global Composite PMI 51.0,50.2 previous
• US Oct Services PMI 50.9 ,49.8 forecast, 50.1 previous
• US Oct Manufacturing PMI 50.0 ,49.5 forecast, 49.8 previous
• US Oct Richmond Services Index-11, 4 previous
• US Oct Richmond Manufacturing Index 3, 3 forecast, 5 previous
• US Oct Richmond Manufacturing Shipments 9 ,7 previous
Looking Ahead Economic Data(GMT)
•00:30 Australia Weighted mean CPI (YoY) (Q3) 5.0% forecast, 5.5% previous
•00:30 Australia Trimmed Mean CPI (QoQ) (Q3) 1.1% forecast, 0.9% previous
•00:30 Australia Weighted mean CPI (QoQ) (Q3) 1.0% forecast,1.0% previous
•00:30 Australia CPI Index Number (Q3) 133.70 previous
•00:30 Australia CPI (QoQ) (Q3) 1.1% forecast, 0.8% previous
•00:30 Australia CPI (YoY) (Q3) 5.3% forecast,6.0% previous
•05:00 Japan Coincident Indicator (MoM) 0.1% previous
•05:00 Japan Leading Index (MoM) 1.3% previous
•05:00 Japan Leading Index 109.5 forecast, 108.2 previous
Looking Ahead Events And Other Release(GMT)
•No Events Ahead
Currency Summaries
EUR/USD: The euro dipped on Tuesday as dollar rose as a slew of fresh economic data highlighted the strength of the U.S. economy relative to the United Kingdom and the European Union.U.S. business output ticked higher in October as the manufacturing sector pulled out of a five-month contraction on a pickup in new orders, and services activity accelerated modestly amid signs of easing inflationary pressures, S&P Global said on Tuesday. Earlier on Tuesday, survey data showed euro zone business activity took a surprise turn for the worse this month in a broad-based downturn across the region, suggesting the bloc may slip into recession . The dollar index , which measures the currency's strength against a basket of six rivals, was 0.6% higher at 106.27.The euro was last 0.8% lower at $1.0588. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0639(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.0686 (23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0579(50%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.0563(61.8%fib).
GBP/USD: Sterling edged lower on Tuesday after showed the UK labour market lost more steam in August. Britain’s unemployment rate held steady at 4.2% under a new calculation that accounts for dwindling survey responses from households, while the number of employed people fell by 82,000 and the number unemployed rose by 74,000. A separate survey showed Britain’s businesses reported another decline in activity this month and cost pressures have cooled further, underlining the risk of recession ahead of the Bank of England’s interest rate decision next week. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2199(38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2288(50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2091(23.6%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2038 (Oct 4th low).
USD/CAD: The Canadian dollar weakened to a near three-week low against its U.S. counterpart on Tuesday as interest rate spreads moved further in favor of the greenback after improved U.S. economic data and ahead of a Bank of Canada policy decision on Wednesday. Adding to headwinds for the loonie, the price of oil, one of Canada’s major exports, settled more than 2% lower at $83.74 a barrel after a flurry of slow economic data from the euro zone and Britain that weighed on the outlook for energy demand. The loonie was trading 0.3% lower at 1.3730 to the greenback, or 72.83 U.S. cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since Oct. 5 at 1.3754. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.3757(23.6%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.3788 (Oct 5th high).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.3691 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.3622(50%fib).
USD/JPY: The dollar held steady against the yen on Tuesday , but was not too far away from 150 level as were traders nervous about possible Japanese government intervention to prop up the yen. Investors were betting the BOJ would defend the 150 level, even as others saw rising U.S. yields as a reason to keep pushing the dollar up. The surge in U.S. Treasury yields since mid-July has boosted the U.S. dollar's appeal relative to other currencies and helped lift the U.S. dollar index more than 6%, but the index has made little headway since early October. The dollar was last up 0.1% at 149.91 yen. Traders are on watch for several events this week, including a European Central Bank meeting, and the release of U.S. GDP data and the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. Strong resistance can be seen at 148.81(Daily high),an upside break can trigger rise towards 150.13(23.6%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen 149.69 (9DMA)a break below could take the pair towards 149.33 (Oct 3rd high).
Equities Recap
European shares reversed early declines to gain on Tuesday as robust earnings from the region and the U.S. outweighed concerns about downbeat economic data in the euro zone, while bank shares underperformed.
UK's benchmark FTSE 100 closed up by 0.20 percent, Germany's Dax ended up by 0.54 percent, France’s CAC finished the day up by 0. 63 percent.
Wall Street ended higher on Tuesday as a spate of solid corporate earnings and upbeat forecasts stoked investor risk appetite and sparked a broad rally.
Dow Jones closed up by 0.62 percent, S&P 500 ended up by 0.73 percent, Nasdaq finished the up by 0.93 percent.
Treasuries Recap
The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield inched lower on Tuesday, as investors bought into a recent sell-off amid concerns about the economic impact of higher borrowing costs and the ongoing geopolitical tension in Israel.
The yield on 10-year Treasury notes breached a 16-year peak of 5.0% on Monday but retreated on Tuesday, In afternoon trading.U.S. two-year yields, which typically reflects interest rate expectations, were last up 3.7 bps at 5.099% .
Commodities Recap
Gold held nearly steady on Tuesday after hitting a five-month high last week, while traders kept one eye on U.S. economic data and another on tensions in the Middle East.
Spot gold ticked 0.1% higher at $1,975.39 per ounce by 12:42 p.m. ET (1742 GMT) after falling as much as 1% earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures settled 0.1% lower at $1,986.1.
Oil prices fell on Tuesday for the third straight session after a flurry of slow economic data from Germany, the euro zone and Britain weighed on the outlook for energy demand.
Brent crude futures fell $1.76, or 2%, to settle at $88.07 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell $1.75, or 2.1%, to close at $83.74 a barrel.